Laura Collett’s chances of winning individual gold at the Longines FEI European Eventing Championships for Britain have risen from 5% to 9% after her excellent dressage test yesterday on London 52.
So say the data experts at EquiRatings, the equestrian data analytics company set up by the Irish duo of eventing world team silver medallist Sam Watson and his university friend Diarmuid Byrne, who are using their Eventing Prediction Centre model to look at the likely results at the European Championships.
The model offers percentage chances of a combination winning, finishing in the top three or finishing in the top 10 and gives updated figures as the competition progresses.
Eventing Prediction Centre results for individuals at the European Eventing Championships 2019 after first day of dressage
Germany’s Ingrid Klimke is the favourite riding SAP Hale Bob OLD, with a 33% chance of winning — unchanged by yesterday’s dressage results — with her team-mate Michael Jung on FischerChipmunk FRH (currently 17% chance of a win) and Dutchman Tim Lips on Bayro (11%) holding the second and third positions. All three do their dressage today. Laura was fourth favourite before her test yesterday and retains that position, but with an increased percentage chance from 5% to 9%.
Other Brits have decent chances too — Kitty King and Vendredi Biats hold fifth place on the model (currently 6% chance of a win) with Oliver Townend and Cooley Master Class sixth (5%). Both Kitty and Oliver have their dressage tests today. Piggy French and Quarrycrest Echo’s ranking has dropped after their slightly disappointing dressage mark — from 4% to 2% chance of individual gold — with Tina Cook steady on 2% ahead of her dressage today with Billy The Red.
Article continues below…
You might also be interested in:
How Laura Collett warmed up London 52 for her leading European Eventing Championships dressage test
We spoke to Laura after her test to find out more about her warm-up strategy to help ensure she scores
Britain outside team medals after first day of European Eventing Championships, as Piggy French says: ‘We’ve got to keep fighting’
Britain’s second team member Piggy French was pleased with her test this afternoon at the European Eventing Championships — but
Subscribe to Horse & Hound magazine today – and enjoy unlimited website access all year round
In the team standings, Britain were the favourites to take the team gold (48% chance) before the withdrawal of Tom McEwen and Toledo De Kerser at the start of the week. This hit Team GBR’s chances hard, with Germany becoming the favourites on 49% and Britain dropping to 28%. Sweden hold third position on 7%, with France fourth on 5%.
Check back for more updates from the Eventing European Championships in Luhmühlen all week, plus full report in next week’s Horse & Hound magazine (dated 5 September).
